Category Archives: Epidemiology and outcomes research
Different multimorbidity measures affect estimated levels of physical quality of life
Prevalence of multimorbidity in the general population and in primary care practices
Multimorbidity in adults from a southern Brazilian city
Multimorbidity in Brazil
- Reference: Nunes BP, Thumé E, Facchini LA: Multimorbidity in older adults: magnitude and challenges for the Brazilian health system. BMC Public Health 2015, 15(1):1172
Multimorbidity and functional decline: a systematic review
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By Áine Ryan, Emma Wallace, Paul O’Hara, Susan M. Smith
Multimorbidity is recognised internationally as having a negative impact on patient outcomes. Functional decline is defined as developing difficulties with activities of daily living and is also independently associated with poorer health outcomes. We recently published a systematic review examining the association between multimorbidity and functional decline. We also examined the extent to which multimorbidity predicts future functional decline [1].
The review retrieved 37 relevant studies (nine cohort and 28 cross-sectional).The majority of studies (n= 31) demonstrated a consistent association between multimorbidity and poorer functional status. Future functional decline was more likely with increasing numbers of conditions and was also linked to condition severity.
We can be reasonably confident of the findings of this systematic review; as overall, there was minimal risk of bias in the included studies. However, variation in study participants, multimorbidity definitions, follow-up duration and outcome measures resulted in meta-analysis not being possible.
The findings of this systematic review are consistent with existing evidence linking multimorbidity and poorer health related quality of life. It also highlights a potential cumulative effect, in that both multimorbidity and functional decline independently predict poorer patient outcomes. This review examines one direction of effect, i.e. that baseline multimorbidity predicts future functional decline. Conversely, it is also possible that poor physical functioning will lead to worsening of multimorbidity, a relationship that our study group plans to examine in an ongoing prospective cohort study in Ireland [2].
This review suggests that functional decline needs to be carefully considered in patients with multimorbidity. Future research should focus on the development and testing of interventions which prioritise physical function in this patient group, particularly for patients with higher numbers of conditions and greater disease severity.
The complete article can be accessed at:
http://hqlo.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12955-015-0355-9
References
[1] Ryan A, Wallace E, O’Hara P, Smith SM. Multimorbidity and functional decline in community-dwelling adults: a systematic review. Health and Quality of Life Outcomes. DOI: 10.1186/s12955-015-0355-9.
[2] The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. www.tilda.ie
Multimorbidity and the inequalities of global ageing: a cross-sectional study of 28 countries using the World Health Surveys
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By Sara Afshar
Multimorbidity defined as the “the coexistence of two or more chronic diseases” in one individual, is
increasing in prevalence globally. Despite the growing recognition of the prevalence of multimorbidity amongst older adults, global prevalence have largely remained single-disease focused. Internationally, there is still limited evidence on the prevalence and social determinants of multimorbidity, particularly in low and middle income countries (LMICs).
In collaboration with the University of Southampton and the World Health Organisation, we examined the global patterns of multimorbidity and compared prevalence across different countries including LMICs. We extracted chronic disease data from 28 countries of the World Health Survey (2003) and examined the inter-country socio-economic differences by gross domestic product (GDP). Regression analyses were applied to examine associations of education with multimorbidity by region adjusted for age and sex distributions.
We found that the mean world standardized multimorbidity prevalence for LMICs was 7.8 % (95 % CI, 7.79 % – 7.83 %). In all countries, multimorbidity increased significantly with age. A positive but non–linear relationship was found between country GDP and multimorbidity prevalence. Trend analyses of multimorbidity by education suggested that there are intergenerational differences, with a more inverse education gradient for younger adults compared to older adults. Furthermore, higher education was significantly associated with a decreased risk of multimorbidity in the all-region analyses.
We concluded that multimorbidity is a global phenomenon, not just affecting older adults in high income countries. Policy makers worldwide therefore need to address these health inequalities, and support the complex service needs of a growing multimorbid population.
Reference:
Afshar S, Roderick PJ, Kowal P, Dimitrov B and Hill AG. Multimorbidity and the inequalities of global ageing: a cross-sectional study of 28 countries using the World Health Surveys. BMC Public Health. 2015. 15:776
To access the full article: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/15/776
Stroke, multimorbidity and polypharmacy in a nationally representative sample of patients in Scotland
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By Dr Katie Gallacher, Prof Stewart Mercer and Prof Frances Mair
Our paper in BMC Medicine http://www.biomedcentral.com/1741-7015/12/151 examines the prevalence of multimorbidity and polypharmacy in a large, nationally representative sample of primary care patients, comparing those with and without stroke, adjusting for age, gender and deprivation. In this cross-sectional study of 1,424,378 adult participants from 314 primary care practices in Scotland, we analysed data on the presence of stroke and 39 other long-term conditions, as well as prescriptions for regular medications.
We found that both multimorbidity and polypharmacy were markedly more common in those with stroke compared to those without. Additionally, number of morbidities were very high in the stroke group (45% had 4 or more) as were numbers of prescriptions (13% had 11 or more). Both multimorbidity and polypharmacy put patients at risk of treatment burden, defined as the workload of healthcare for patients, and the impact of this on wellbeing. The findings from our study therefore have important implications for the redesign of stroke health services and clinical guidelines.
Multimorbidity in patients enrolled in a community-based methadone maintenance programme
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By Tom Brett
The General Practice and Primary Health Care Research Unit at The University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle has published a new paper: ‘Multimorbidity in patients enrolled in a community-based methadone maintenance programme delivered through primary care’ (1). The study is a retrospective cohort study using electronic medical record review of patients attending a primary care-based methadone maintenance clinic in Western Australia. The clinic itself is part of a much larger medical centre that offers comprehensive primary health care. Multimorbidity in the methadone cohort was consistently higher across all age groups and contrasted with the comparator group where multimorbidity was positively correlated with age. We found the traditional S-shaped distribution curve of multimorbidity from mainstream practice was replaced by a consistently elevated plateau distribution among the methadone cohort. Our findings suggest challenging implications for the design and delivery of health care services to this population. Diane Arnold-Reed is lead author.
1-Multimorbidity in patients enrolled in a community-based methadone maintenance programme delivered through primary care. Journal of Comorbidity 2014; 4: 46-54. Doi: 10.15256/joc.2014.4.42
Multimorbidity in a marginalised, street-health Australian population
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By Tom Brett
A recent publication from The University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle in BMJ Open (1) deals with patterns, prevalence and disease severity of multimorbid chronic conditions among a street-based vulnerable and marginalized population.
Our research brings new information on a disadvantaged cohort of patients who access an innovative, accredited, mobile outreach primary care medical service.
We have again used the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale among the 2587 patients seen over a six year period in the Fremantle area of Western Australia.
Disease patterns and severity were compared with 4583 mainstream patients from a similar geographical area.
A key finding from our research is that this population develops chronic conditions at a much earlier age especially when compared with earlier research worldwide from mainstream practices.
A positive outcome from our research was the willingness of Aboriginal patients to engage with the mobile, outreach primary care medical service. This compares very favourably with the traditional low attendance patterns of Aboriginal patients with mainstream practices.
(1) Brett T, Arnold-Reed DE, Troeung L, Bulsara MK, Williams A, Moorhead RG. Multimorbidity in a marginalised, street-health Australian population: a retrospective cohort study. BMJ Open. 2014 Aug 19;4(8):e005461. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2014-005461.
Lifestyle factors and multimorbidity
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By Martin Fortin
Many studies have unequivocally shown a close relationship between lifestyle factors and individual chronic diseases. More recently, the association of lifestyle risk factors with multimorbidity has been explored for physical activity, obesity, smoking, alcohol consumption, and nutrition. Some mixed results have been reported. However, the body mass index has been consistently found to be associated with multimorbidity.
In a recent study published in BMC Public Health [1], we analysed the association of accumulating risk factors in the same individual and multimorbidity. We found that accumulating unhealthy lifestyle factors progressively increased the likelihood of multimorbidity. The cross-sectional design of the study did not allow making a causal inference. However, the increase in the likelihood of multimorbidity with the combined effect of unhealthy lifestyle factors may be used to hypothesise that a person-centered approach promoting healthy lifestyles aiming to maximize the number of healthy lifestyles could be an intervention in the fight against multimorbidity.
1. Fortin M, Haggerty J, Almirall J, et al., Lifestyle factors and multimorbidity: a cross sectional study. BMC Public Health 2014;14:686.